Primera Division · Matchweek 10

Sevilla FC vs CA Osasuna Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 26 Oct, 20:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sevilla FC win54%
Draw21%
CA Osasuna win25%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Under 2.5 goals
34%
BTTS yes
64%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
BTTS no
36%
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.33

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Sevilla FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. CA Osasuna have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–19.3%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 1–07.0%
  • 3–16.5%
  • 2–26.3%
  • 1–26.2%
  • 3–04.9%

Team comparison

StatisticSevilla FCCA Osasuna
Matches played67
Points per match1.671.14
Goals per match1.330.86
Goals conceded per match1.331.86
Home / away goals scored34
Home / away goals conceded610
Last 5 points74
Last 5 goals scored54
Last 5 goals conceded712
Win percentage50%29%

Sevilla FC recent form

LDWWL

CA Osasuna recent form

WLLLD

Recent form

Sevilla FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lvs Barcelona1–3
  • Wat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–0
  • Wvs Valencia CF1–0
  • Dat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–1
  • Lvs Atlético Madrid1–3

CA Osasuna

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 12 conceded

  • Dvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–1
  • Lat Atlético Madrid0–4
  • Lvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona0–2
  • Lat Deportivo Alavés2–5
  • Wvs Getafe CF1–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 5 October 2026
Last updated: 5 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
512
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
57.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.