Eredivisie · Matchweek 11

SC Heerenveen vs NEC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 (GMT+0)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SC Heerenveen win36%
Draw24%
NEC win40%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Under 2.5 goals
42%
BTTS yes
61%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
36%
BTTS no
39%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.55

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SC Heerenveen have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. SC Heerenveen's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.1%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 1–07.2%
  • 2–26.3%
  • 0–25.9%
  • 2–05.2%

Team comparison

StatisticSC HeerenveenNEC
Matches played75
Points per match0.861.00
Goals per match1.431.40
Goals conceded per match1.572.00
Home / away goals scored23
Home / away goals conceded54
Last 5 points55
Last 5 goals scored87
Last 5 goals conceded710
Win percentage14%20%

SC Heerenveen recent form

DLDWL

NEC recent form

WLDLD

Recent form

SC Heerenveen

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat PSV0–2
  • Wat Sparta Rotterdam4–0
  • Dvs Telstar 19630–0
  • Lvs AZ2–3
  • Dat Willem II Tilburg2–2

NEC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 10 conceded

  • Dvs Go Ahead Eagles1–1
  • Lat SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden0–3
  • Dvs SBV Excelsior2–2
  • Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–3
  • Wat PEC Zwolle3–1

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
554
1X2 accuracy
46.8%
BTTS accuracy
56.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.5%
Exact score
11.0%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.