Eredivisie · Matchweek 4

SBV Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

United Matchday prediction

SBV Excelsior win66%
Draw19%
Sparta Rotterdam win15%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
2.24 – 0.96

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SBV Excelsior have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Sparta Rotterdam, who have shipped goals above the Eredivisie average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour SBV Excelsior, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2010.3%
  • 219.8%
  • 109.2%
  • 118.8%
  • 307.7%
  • 317.3%
  • 224.7%
  • 404.3%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.