Eredivisie · Matchweek 4

SBV Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Sat 29 Aug, 15:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 29 Aug, 15:30 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SBV Excelsior win42%

Draw19%

Sparta Rotterdam win39%

Predicted score: 2–2
Over 2.5 goals: 85%
Under 2.5 goals: 15%
BTTS yes: 82%

Over 1.5 goals: 95%
Over 3.5 goals: 70%
BTTS no: 18%
Expected goals: 2.42 – 2.35

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–26.9%
2–15.9%
1–25.7%
3–25.5%
2–35.4%
1–14.9%
3–14.7%
1–34.5%

Team comparison

Statistic	SBV Excelsior	Sparta Rotterdam
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.60	0.40
Goals per match	2.00	1.40
Goals conceded per match	1.40	3.00
Home / away goals scored	3	2
Home / away goals conceded	3	6
Last 5 points	8	2
Last 5 goals scored	10	7
Last 5 goals conceded	7	15
Win percentage	40%	0%

SBV Excelsior recent form

WWDLD

Sparta Rotterdam recent form

DLDLL

Recent form

SBV Excelsior

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 7 conceded

Wat Sparta Rotterdam3–2
Dvs FC Volendam1–1
Wat FC Groningen3–2
Wvs FC Utrecht5–0
Dat PEC Zwolle2–2

Sparta Rotterdam

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 16 conceded

Dvs FC Utrecht3–3
Lvs SBV Excelsior2–3
Lat FC Twente '650–4
Dvs Go Ahead Eagles2–2
Lat Telstar 19631–4

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 29 Aug, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.