Eredivisie · Matchweek 2

SBV Excelsior vs PSV Prediction

United Matchday prediction

SBV Excelsior win11%
Draw13%
PSV win77%
Predicted score
1–3
Over 2.5 goals
82%
Under 2.5 goals
18%
BTTS yes
67%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
64%
BTTS no
33%
Expected goals
1.21 – 3.23

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SBV Excelsior have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. PSV have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. PSV's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 138.1%
  • 127.5%
  • 036.7%
  • 146.5%
  • 026.2%
  • 045.4%
  • 234.9%
  • 114.6%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.