Eredivisie · Matchweek 2

SBV Excelsior vs PSV Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 15 Aug, 19:00 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SBV Excelsior win11%
Draw13%
PSV win77%
Predicted score
1–3
Over 2.5 goals
82%
Under 2.5 goals
18%
BTTS yes
67%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
64%
BTTS no
33%
Expected goals
1.21 – 3.23

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SBV Excelsior have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. PSV have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. PSV's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–38.1%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 0–36.7%
  • 1–46.5%
  • 0–26.2%
  • 0–45.4%
  • 2–34.9%
  • 1–14.6%

Team comparison

StatisticSBV ExcelsiorPSV
Matches played55
Points per match1.602.40
Goals per match2.004.00
Goals conceded per match1.401.40
Home / away goals scored311
Home / away goals conceded35
Last 5 points812
Last 5 goals scored1020
Last 5 goals conceded77
Win percentage40%80%

SBV Excelsior recent form

WWDLD

PSV recent form

WWWWL

Recent form

SBV Excelsior

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat Sparta Rotterdam3–2
  • Dvs FC Volendam1–1
  • Wat FC Groningen3–2
  • Wvs FC Utrecht5–0
  • Dat PEC Zwolle2–2

PSV

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 19 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs FC Twente '655–1
  • Wat Go Ahead Eagles4–1
  • Dat AFC Ajax2–2
  • Wvs PEC Zwolle6–1
  • Wat Sparta Rotterdam2–0

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 15 Aug, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.