Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 34

São Paulo FC vs SC Corinthians Paulista Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Thu 5 Nov, 00:30 (GMT+0)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 34
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

São Paulo FC win63%
Draw21%
SC Corinthians Paulista win15%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
BTTS yes
48%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
BTTS no
52%
Expected goals
1.93 – 0.82

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

São Paulo FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against SC Corinthians Paulista, who have shipped goals above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average on the road. São Paulo FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.3%
  • 2–011.9%
  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 3–07.6%
  • 0–06.4%
  • 3–16.3%
  • 0–15.3%

Team comparison

StatisticSão Paulo FCSC Corinthians Paulista
Matches played98
Points per match1.440.00
Goals per match1.000.88
Goals conceded per match1.112.25
Home / away goals scored94
Home / away goals conceded510
Last 5 points60
Last 5 goals scored45
Last 5 goals conceded713
Win percentage44%0%

São Paulo FC recent form

LWLLW

SC Corinthians Paulista recent form

LLLLL

Recent form

São Paulo FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs EC Vitória2–1
  • Lat Cruzeiro EC0–2
  • Lvs Santos FC1–2
  • Wvs SC Internacional1–0
  • Lat SE Palmeiras0–2

SC Corinthians Paulista

0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 13 conceded

  • Lat SE Palmeiras1–4
  • Lat SC Internacional1–2
  • Lvs Fluminense FC1–3
  • Lat Flamengo1–2
  • Lvs Chapecoense AF1–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 15 October 2026
Last updated: 15 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
639
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
56.7%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.8%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.