Championship · Matchweek 5

Queens Park Rangers FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Queens Park Rangers FC win48%
Draw25%
Middlesbrough FC win27%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes
53%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
28%
BTTS no
47%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.11

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Queens Park Rangers FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model expects fewer away goals given Queens Park Rangers FC's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour Queens Park Rangers FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 0–06.8%
  • 1–26.6%
  • 2–25.2%

Team comparison

StatisticQueens Park Rangers FCMiddlesbrough FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.431.71
Goals per match1.002.00
Goals conceded per match0.861.57
Home / away goals scored45
Home / away goals conceded45
Last 5 points69
Last 5 goals scored510
Last 5 goals conceded58
Win percentage29%43%

Queens Park Rangers FC recent form

WLDDD

Middlesbrough FC recent form

DWWDD

Recent form

Queens Park Rangers FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wvs Cardiff City FC2–1
  • Wat Blackburn Rovers FC2–1
  • Dvs Bolton Wanderers FC0–0
  • Lat Ipswich Town FC0–3
  • Lvs Derby County FC2–3

Middlesbrough FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dat Burnley FC1–1
  • Wvs West Bromwich Albion FC3–1
  • Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–2
  • Lat Hull City AFC0–1
  • Lat Southampton FC1–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.