Championship · Matchweek 4

Queens Park Rangers FC vs Cardiff City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 2 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Queens Park Rangers FC win47%
Draw25%
Cardiff City FC win28%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.17

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Queens Park Rangers FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Cardiff City FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Recent results also favour Queens Park Rangers FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 0–17.4%
  • 1–26.9%
  • 0–06.4%
  • 2–25.5%

Team comparison

StatisticQueens Park Rangers FCCardiff City FC
Matches played78
Points per match1.430.88
Goals per match1.001.25
Goals conceded per match0.861.50
Home / away goals scored43
Home / away goals conceded47
Last 5 points64
Last 5 goals scored55
Last 5 goals conceded57
Win percentage29%13%

Queens Park Rangers FC recent form

WLDDD

Cardiff City FC recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

Queens Park Rangers FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wat Blackburn Rovers FC2–1
  • Dvs Bolton Wanderers FC0–0
  • Lat Ipswich Town FC0–3
  • Lvs Derby County FC2–3
  • Lvs Swansea City AFC1–2

Cardiff City FC

0W 3D 0L in the last 3 · 5 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dvs Sheffield United FC2–2
  • Dat Derby County FC2–2
  • Dvs Wrexham AFC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 2 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.