Eredivisie
NEC vs Fortuna Sittard
Home
34%
Draw
21%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 71%BTTS: 71%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 11
PSV vs Willem II Tilburg Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
PSV win91%
Draw6%
Willem II Tilburg win3%
- Predicted score
- 4–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 89%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 11%
- BTTS yes
- 59%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 97%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 76%
- BTTS no
- 41%
- Expected goals
- 4.36 – 0.91
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
PSV have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Away defensive numbers work against Willem II Tilburg, who have shipped goals above the Eredivisie average on the road. PSV's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 4–08.0%
- 3–07.3%
- 4–17.3%
- 5–07.0%
- 3–16.7%
- 5–16.4%
- 6–05.1%
- 2–05.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | PSV | Willem II Tilburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 5 |
| Points per match | 2.50 | 0.40 |
| Goals per match | 3.67 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.17 | 2.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 17 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 83% | 0% |
PSV recent form
WWWLW
Willem II Tilburg recent form
DLDLL
Recent form
PSV
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs SC Heerenveen2–0
- Lat FC Twente '652–3
- Wvs Sparta Rotterdam4–1
- Dvs FK Shakhtar Donetsk1–1
- Wat AFC Ajax3–1
Willem II Tilburg
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 12 conceded
- Lvs Fortuna Sittard0–1
- Lat AFC Ajax1–5
- Dat AZ1–1
- Lvs SBV Excelsior0–3
- Dvs SC Heerenveen2–2
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 554
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.8%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.5%
- Exact score
- 11.0%
Related predictions
Eredivisie
FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle
Home
46%
Draw
19%
Away
35%
- Predicted score: 2–2Over 2.5: 82%BTTS: 79%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.