Eredivisie · Matchweek 3

PSV vs FC Groningen Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 23 Aug, 13:30 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

PSV win24%
Draw18%
FC Groningen win58%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
82%
Under 2.5 goals
18%
BTTS yes
77%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
64%
BTTS no
23%
Expected goals
1.75 – 2.68

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. FC Groningen arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–27.5%
  • 1–36.7%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 2–35.9%
  • 1–15.6%
  • 2–14.9%
  • 1–44.5%
  • 0–24.3%

Team comparison

StatisticPSVFC Groningen
Matches played56
Points per match2.401.33
Goals per match4.002.17
Goals conceded per match1.402.00
Home / away goals scored96
Home / away goals conceded27
Last 5 points125
Last 5 goals scored209
Last 5 goals conceded711
Win percentage80%33%

PSV recent form

WWWWL

FC Groningen recent form

LLDDW

Recent form

PSV

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 19 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs FC Twente '655–1
  • Wat Go Ahead Eagles4–1
  • Dat AFC Ajax2–2
  • Wvs PEC Zwolle6–1
  • Wat Sparta Rotterdam2–0

FC Groningen

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wat ADO Den Haag4–1
  • Wat Heracles Almelo2–1
  • Wvs NEC2–1
  • Lvs SBV Excelsior2–3
  • Lat Feyenoord Rotterdam1–3

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 23 Aug, 13:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 23 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.