Championship · Matchweek 4

Preston North End FC vs Bristol City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 1 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Preston North End FC win28%
Draw22%
Bristol City FC win50%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Under 2.5 goals
34%
BTTS yes
66%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
BTTS no
34%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.98

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Preston North End FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. Bristol City FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Bristol City FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.4%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 2–16.7%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 0–16.5%
  • 0–26.5%
  • 1–36.1%
  • 1–04.7%

Team comparison

StatisticPreston North End FCBristol City FC
Matches played77
Points per match0.571.86
Goals per match1.001.57
Goals conceded per match1.861.43
Home / away goals scored48
Home / away goals conceded88
Last 5 points49
Last 5 goals scored67
Last 5 goals conceded97
Win percentage14%57%

Preston North End FC recent form

LWLLD

Bristol City FC recent form

WWLLW

Recent form

Preston North End FC

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Charlton Athletic FC0–1
  • Lvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–3
  • Lvs Southampton FC1–3
  • Wat Sheffield United FC3–2
  • Lat Birmingham City FC1–2

Bristol City FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Portsmouth FC2–1
  • Dat Birmingham City FC2–2
  • Wvs Stoke City FC2–0
  • Lat Birmingham City FC1–2
  • Dat Southampton FC2–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 1 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.