Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 4
Portsmouth FC vs Derby County FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 1 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Portsmouth FC win59%
Draw20%
Derby County FC win21%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 2.16 – 1.21
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.0%
- 2–08.1%
- 1–07.5%
- 3–17.0%
- 2–25.9%
- 3–05.8%
- 1–25.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Portsmouth FC | Derby County FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 0.71 |
| Goals per match | 1.33 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.17 | 1.71 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 14% |
Portsmouth FC recent form
LLWDD
Derby County FC recent form
WLLLD
Recent form
Portsmouth FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat Bristol City FC1–2
- Wat Lincoln City FC3–1
- Dvs Birmingham City FC1–1
- Wat Stoke City FC3–1
- Lat Coventry City FC1–5
Derby County FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 11 conceded
- Lvs Swansea City AFC0–3
- Dvs Cardiff City FC2–2
- Lvs Sheffield United FC1–2
- Wat Queens Park Rangers FC3–2
- Lat Norwich City FC1–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 1 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.