Portsmouth FC vs Derby County FC Prediction

United Matchday prediction

Predicted score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

54%

Under 2.5 goals

46%

BTTS yes

58%

Over 1.5 goals

78%

Over 3.5 goals

32%

BTTS no

42%

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.48

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Portsmouth FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. Derby County FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Recent results also favour Portsmouth FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

• 1–111.7%
• 1–28.7%
• 0–18.6%
• 2–18.0%
• 1–07.9%
• 0–26.4%
• 2–25.9%
• 0–05.8%

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

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