Championship · Matchweek 5

Portsmouth FC vs Cardiff City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Portsmouth FC win36%
Draw25%
Cardiff City FC win40%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.49

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Portsmouth FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 0–26.2%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 0–05.5%

Team comparison

StatisticPortsmouth FCCardiff City FC
Matches played68
Points per match1.330.88
Goals per match1.331.25
Goals conceded per match1.171.50
Home / away goals scored43
Home / away goals conceded47
Last 5 points54
Last 5 goals scored55
Last 5 goals conceded67
Win percentage33%13%

Portsmouth FC recent form

LLWDD

Cardiff City FC recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

Portsmouth FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lvs Derby County FC0–2
  • Lat Bristol City FC1–2
  • Wat Lincoln City FC3–1
  • Dvs Birmingham City FC1–1
  • Wat Stoke City FC3–1

Cardiff City FC

0W 3D 1L in the last 4 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Queens Park Rangers FC1–2
  • Dvs Sheffield United FC2–2
  • Dat Derby County FC2–2
  • Dvs Wrexham AFC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.