Eredivisie · Matchweek 4

PEC Zwolle vs NEC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

PEC Zwolle win35%
Draw20%
NEC win45%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
79%
Under 2.5 goals
21%
BTTS yes
77%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
60%
BTTS no
23%
Expected goals
1.97 – 2.21

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–27.4%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 2–16.6%
  • 1–35.4%
  • 2–35.3%
  • 3–24.8%
  • 3–14.3%

Team comparison

StatisticPEC ZwolleNEC
Matches played65
Points per match0.671.00
Goals per match1.001.40
Goals conceded per match3.002.00
Home / away goals scored13
Home / away goals conceded104
Last 5 points45
Last 5 goals scored57
Last 5 goals conceded1510
Win percentage17%20%

PEC Zwolle recent form

WLDLL

NEC recent form

WLDLD

Recent form

PEC Zwolle

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat SC Heerenveen2–0
  • Lat FC Twente '651–3
  • Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam0–2
  • Lat Fortuna Sittard2–3
  • Wvs Heracles Almelo1–0

NEC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs Go Ahead Eagles2–1
  • Lat FC Groningen1–2
  • Dvs Telstar 19631–1
  • Dat FC Twente '651–1
  • Dvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–1

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 29 Aug, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.