Eredivisie · Matchweek 4

PEC Zwolle vs NEC Prediction

United Matchday prediction

PEC Zwolle win16%
Draw19%
NEC win65%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
BTTS yes
57%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
41%
BTTS no
43%
Expected goals
1.03 – 2.25

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

PEC Zwolle have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. NEC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. NEC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 129.8%
  • 029.5%
  • 118.7%
  • 018.5%
  • 137.4%
  • 037.2%
  • 225.0%
  • 214.5%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.