Premier League · Matchweek 5

Nottingham Forest FC vs Coventry City FC Prediction

Sat 19 Sept, 17:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
Competition: Premier League
Round: Matchweek 5
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Nottingham Forest FC win57%

Draw28%

Coventry City FC win15%

Predicted score: 1–0
Over 2.5 goals: 31%
Under 2.5 goals: 69%
BTTS yes: 32%

Over 1.5 goals: 58%
Over 3.5 goals: 13%
BTTS no: 68%
Expected goals: 1.37 – 0.57

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Nottingham Forest FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. Coventry City FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Nottingham Forest FC's home defensive numbers. Both defensive records point toward a tighter, lower-scoring fixture.

Most likely scorelines

1–019.7%
0–014.4%
2–013.5%
1–111.2%
0–18.2%
2–17.7%
3–06.2%
3–13.5%

Team comparison

Statistic	Nottingham Forest FC	Coventry City FC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.00	0.60
Goals per match	0.80	0.20
Goals conceded per match	1.00	2.00
Home / away goals scored	0	1
Home / away goals conceded	2	4
Last 5 points	5	3
Last 5 goals scored	4	1
Last 5 goals conceded	5	10
Win percentage	20%	20%

Nottingham Forest FC recent form

LDDWL

Coventry City FC recent form

LLLLW

Recent form

Nottingham Forest FC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 5 conceded

Wat Aston Villa FC2–1
Dvs Tottenham Hotspur FC0–0
Dat Liverpool FC2–2
Lvs Leeds United FC0–1
Dvs AFC Bournemouth1–1

Coventry City FC

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 10 conceded

Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–5
Lat Manchester City FC0–1
Lvs Hull City AFC0–1
Lat Arsenal FC0–3
Wat Watford FC4–0

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.