Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 5
Nottingham Forest FC vs Coventry City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Nottingham Forest FC win57%
Draw28%
Coventry City FC win15%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 31%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 69%
- BTTS yes
- 32%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 58%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 13%
- BTTS no
- 68%
- Expected goals
- 1.37 – 0.57
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Nottingham Forest FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. Coventry City FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Nottingham Forest FC's home defensive numbers. Both defensive records point toward a tighter, lower-scoring fixture.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–019.7%
- 0–014.4%
- 2–013.5%
- 1–111.2%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–17.7%
- 3–06.2%
- 3–13.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Nottingham Forest FC | Coventry City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Goals per match | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.30 | 1.90 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 30% |
Nottingham Forest FC recent form
LLDLW
Coventry City FC recent form
WLLWL
Recent form
Nottingham Forest FC
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 5 conceded
- Wat Aston Villa FC2–1
- Dvs Tottenham Hotspur FC0–0
- Dat Liverpool FC2–2
- Lvs Leeds United FC0–1
- Dvs AFC Bournemouth1–1
Coventry City FC
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 10 conceded
- Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–5
- Lat Manchester City FC0–1
- Lvs Hull City AFC0–1
- Lat Arsenal FC0–3
- Wat Watford FC4–0
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
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Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.