Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 12
Nottingham Forest FC vs Chelsea FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 27 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Nottingham Forest FC win30%
Draw28%
Chelsea FC win42%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 59%
- BTTS yes
- 47%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 68%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 21%
- BTTS no
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 1.04 – 1.29
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Nottingham Forest FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Chelsea FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Chelsea FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–112.6%
- 1–010.1%
- 0–09.7%
- 1–28.4%
- 0–28.1%
- 2–16.8%
- 2–05.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Nottingham Forest FC | Chelsea FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.90 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 0.90 | 1.90 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.30 | 1.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 50% |
Nottingham Forest FC recent form
LLDLW
Chelsea FC recent form
WWLWL
Recent form
Nottingham Forest FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Manchester City FC3–1
- Lat Brentford FC0–2
- Dat Ipswich Town FC1–1
- Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
- Lat Crystal Palace FC1–3
Chelsea FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded
- Lat Sunderland AFC0–1
- Wvs Manchester United FC2–0
- Lvs Tottenham Hotspur FC0–2
- Wat Everton FC2–0
- Wvs AFC Bournemouth5–1
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Fri 27 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 6 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
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Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.