Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 7
Nottingham Forest FC vs Arsenal FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Nottingham Forest FC win22%
Draw29%
Arsenal FC win49%
- Predicted score
- 0–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 34%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 66%
- BTTS yes
- 38%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 61%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 15%
- BTTS no
- 62%
- Expected goals
- 0.75 – 1.30
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Nottingham Forest FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Arsenal FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Nottingham Forest FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. The model expects a lower-scoring game than the competition average.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–116.7%
- 0–012.9%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–210.8%
- 1–09.7%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–14.7%
- 0–34.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Nottingham Forest FC | Arsenal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.90 | 2.70 |
| Goals per match | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 1 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 90% |
Nottingham Forest FC recent form
LLDLW
Arsenal FC recent form
WWWWW
Recent form
Nottingham Forest FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat Crystal Palace FC1–3
- Lvs Coventry City FC0–1
- Wat Aston Villa FC2–1
- Dvs Tottenham Hotspur FC0–0
- Dat Liverpool FC2–2
Arsenal FC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs Lille OSC3–0
- Wvs Leeds United FC2–1
- Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–3
- Wat Sunderland AFC2–0
- Wat SSC Napoli1–0
Team news
Arsenal FC
- England squad announcement: Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta on Ben White recall, Gunners in the England squad and No
- Slavia Prague 1-2 Arsenal: Noni Madueke and Viktor Gyokeres on target as Gunners survive second-half scare
- Papers: Arteta using NASA to help fix Arsenal's injury woes
- Liverpool's unwanted record highlights creativity issue
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.