Premier League
Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 7
Nottingham Forest FC vs Arsenal FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Nottingham Forest FC win23%
Draw29%
Arsenal FC win48%
- Predicted score
- 0–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 33%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 67%
- BTTS yes
- 38%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 60%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 15%
- BTTS no
- 62%
- Expected goals
- 0.76 – 1.25
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Nottingham Forest FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Arsenal FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Nottingham Forest FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. The model expects a lower-scoring game than the competition average.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–116.7%
- 0–013.4%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–210.4%
- 1–010.2%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–14.9%
- 0–34.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Nottingham Forest FC | Arsenal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 0 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 80% |
Nottingham Forest FC recent form
LDDWL
Arsenal FC recent form
WWWWL
Recent form
Nottingham Forest FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 5 conceded
- Lvs Coventry City FC0–1
- Wat Aston Villa FC2–1
- Dvs Tottenham Hotspur FC0–0
- Dat Liverpool FC2–2
- Lvs Leeds United FC0–1
Arsenal FC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 4 conceded
- Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–3
- Wat Sunderland AFC2–0
- Wat SSC Napoli1–0
- Wvs Chelsea FC2–1
- Wat Aston Villa FC1–0
Team news
Arsenal FC
- Kai Havertz returning to Arsenal to be assessed after suffering injury for Germany against Netherlands
- Transfer rumors, news: Arsenal want Yildiz as Al Hilal add Martinelli to short list
- Arsenal starlet Max Dowman to link up with England senior squad after mass withdrawals - Paper Talk
- Mykhailo Mudryk preferred Arsenal move before £88m Chelsea transfer - Paper Talk
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Leeds United FC vs Manchester United FC
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 51%
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Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Home
75%
Draw
15%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 52%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.