Championship · Matchweek 3

Norwich City FC vs Burnley FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Norwich City FC win41%
Draw25%
Burnley FC win34%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
BTTS yes
59%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
34%
BTTS no
41%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.38

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Norwich City FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. Burnley FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 0–17.4%
  • 2–06.4%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 0–05.3%

Team comparison

StatisticNorwich City FCBurnley FC
Matches played78
Points per match1.290.50
Goals per match2.141.13
Goals conceded per match2.142.13
Home / away goals scored94
Home / away goals conceded611
Last 5 points63
Last 5 goals scored115
Last 5 goals conceded118
Win percentage43%0%

Norwich City FC recent form

LWWLL

Burnley FC recent form

DLDLD

Recent form

Norwich City FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Millwall FC0–3
  • Lat Hull City AFC1–2
  • Dvs Swansea City AFC1–1
  • Wvs Derby County FC2–1
  • Wat Bristol City FC4–2

Burnley FC

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat West Bromwich Albion FC1–3
  • Dvs West Ham United FC2–2
  • Dvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–1
  • Lat Arsenal FC0–1
  • Dvs Aston Villa FC2–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.