Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 13
Newcastle United FC vs Manchester United FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 2 Dec, 20:15 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- St James' Park, Newcastle, England
United Matchday prediction
Newcastle United FC win40%
Draw26%
Manchester United FC win33%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS yes
- 52%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 73%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS no
- 48%
- Expected goals
- 1.36 – 1.21
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Newcastle United FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–07.7%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–07.1%
- 0–25.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Newcastle United FC | Manchester United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.30 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.60 | 1.90 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 10% |
Newcastle United FC recent form
LLWLD
Manchester United FC recent form
DDLLD
Recent form
Newcastle United FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat Fulham FC1–1
- Lvs Everton FC0–1
- Wat Crystal Palace FC2–0
- Lvs Aston Villa FC0–1
- Lat Coventry City FC1–4
Manchester United FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 15 conceded
- Dvs Aston Villa FC4–4
- Wvs AS Roma3–2
- Lat Chelsea FC0–2
- Lvs AFC Bournemouth0–3
- Lat Como 19071–4
Team news
Manchester United FC
- Man United complete first transfer of Mauricio Pochettino era as wonderkid joins
- Mauricio Pochettino: Man Utd close to agreeing deal with Michael Carrick's potential successor ahead of Monaco
- USA dressing room break silence on Mauricio Pochettino's exit for Manchester United
- Two players Mauricio Pochettino must sign for Man United named and profiled
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Wed 2 Dec, 20:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.