Premier League
Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 5
Newcastle United FC vs Hull City AFC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- St James' Park, Newcastle, England
United Matchday prediction
Newcastle United FC win31%
Draw23%
Hull City AFC win46%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 39%
- BTTS yes
- 63%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 39%
- BTTS no
- 37%
- Expected goals
- 1.40 – 1.77
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Hull City AFC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Hull City AFC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–17.4%
- 2–17.3%
- 0–26.6%
- 2–26.5%
- 1–05.9%
- 1–35.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Newcastle United FC | Hull City AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 40% |
Newcastle United FC recent form
DWDLW
Hull City AFC recent form
WWDDL
Recent form
Newcastle United FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat Leeds United FC1–4
- Dvs AFC Bournemouth2–2
- Wat Tottenham Hotspur FC2–0
- Dvs Liverpool FC2–2
- Lat Fulham FC0–2
Hull City AFC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 2 conceded
- Dat Chelsea FC2–2
- Dvs Aston Villa FC0–0
- Wat Coventry City FC1–0
- Wvs Manchester United FC2–0
- Wvs Middlesbrough FC1–0
Team news
Newcastle United FC
- Aston Villa sign Mbaye and Harwood-Bellis as Newcastle get Fernandez-Pardo
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo transfer news: Newcastle closing in on deal to sign Lille forward ahead of transfer dea
- Newcastle have a long-standing interest in Fernandez-Pardo
- Francisco Moreno: Pumas prop joins Newcastle Red Bulls on one-year deal
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.