Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 7
Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- St James' Park, Newcastle, England
United Matchday prediction
Newcastle United FC win50%
Draw22%
Aston Villa FC win28%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS yes
- 65%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS no
- 35%
- Expected goals
- 1.95 – 1.41
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–06.7%
- 1–26.7%
- 2–06.6%
- 2–26.6%
- 3–16.1%
- 0–14.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Newcastle United FC | Aston Villa FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Goals per match | 1.30 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 30% |
Newcastle United FC recent form
LLWLD
Aston Villa FC recent form
DWWDD
Recent form
Newcastle United FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat Coventry City FC1–4
- Wvs Hull City AFC2–1
- Lat Leeds United FC1–4
- Dvs AFC Bournemouth2–2
- Wat Tottenham Hotspur FC2–0
Aston Villa FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Fenerbahçe SK6–0
- Dvs Brentford FC2–2
- Wat Tottenham Hotspur FC3–2
- Lvs Nottingham Forest FC1–2
- Wat Club Brugge KV3–2
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Draw
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Away
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Home
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Draw
21%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.