Eredivisie · Matchweek 10

NEC vs FC Groningen Prediction

Sun 25 Oct, 13:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 25 Oct, 13:30 (GMT+0)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 10
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

NEC win41%

Draw21%

FC Groningen win38%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 73%
Under 2.5 goals: 27%
BTTS yes: 72%

Over 1.5 goals: 89%
Over 3.5 goals: 53%
BTTS no: 28%
Expected goals: 1.93 – 1.87

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

NEC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–18.1%
2–17.8%
1–27.6%
2–27.3%
3–15.0%
1–34.7%
3–24.7%
2–34.5%

Team comparison

Statistic	NEC	FC Groningen
Matches played	5	6
Points per match	1.00	1.33
Goals per match	1.40	2.17
Goals conceded per match	2.00	2.00
Home / away goals scored	4	6
Home / away goals conceded	6	7
Last 5 points	5	5
Last 5 goals scored	7	9
Last 5 goals conceded	10	11
Win percentage	20%	33%

NEC recent form

WLDLD

FC Groningen recent form

LLDDW

Recent form

NEC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 10 conceded

Dvs Go Ahead Eagles1–1
Lat SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden0–3
Dvs SBV Excelsior2–2
Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–3
Wat PEC Zwolle3–1

FC Groningen

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 11 conceded

Wvs PEC Zwolle3–0
Dat Go Ahead Eagles1–1
Dvs FC Twente '652–2
Lvs Fortuna Sittard2–3
Lat PSV1–5

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 13:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.