Championship · Matchweek 4

Millwall FC vs Wrexham AFC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 2 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Millwall FC win58%
Draw22%
Wrexham AFC win20%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
34%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.91 – 1.04

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Millwall FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits Wrexham AFC with an above-average away defensive record. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.6%
  • 3–16.3%
  • 3–06.1%
  • 0–15.5%
  • 1–25.4%

Team comparison

StatisticMillwall FCWrexham AFC
Matches played78
Points per match1.141.25
Goals per match1.861.13
Goals conceded per match2.141.50
Home / away goals scored94
Home / away goals conceded57
Last 5 points58
Last 5 goals scored96
Last 5 goals conceded108
Win percentage29%25%

Millwall FC recent form

LWLDD

Wrexham AFC recent form

WDDLW

Recent form

Millwall FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Southampton FC1–5
  • Wvs Norwich City FC3–0
  • Lvs Hull City AFC0–2
  • Dat Hull City AFC0–0
  • Wvs Oxford United FC2–0

Wrexham AFC

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lvs Birmingham City FC1–2
  • Dvs Watford FC1–1
  • Dat Cardiff City FC1–1
  • Dvs Middlesbrough FC2–2
  • Lat Coventry City FC1–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 2 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.