Championship · Matchweek 5

Millwall FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Millwall FC win49%
Draw24%
Bolton Wanderers FC win27%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Under 2.5 goals
47%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.17

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 0–17.0%
  • 1–26.7%
  • 0–06.0%
  • 2–25.5%

Team comparison

StatisticMillwall FCBolton Wanderers FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.141.00
Goals per match1.861.29
Goals conceded per match2.142.00
Home / away goals scored96
Home / away goals conceded510
Last 5 points56
Last 5 goals scored99
Last 5 goals conceded1013
Win percentage29%29%

Millwall FC recent form

LWLDD

Bolton Wanderers FC recent form

LLLWW

Recent form

Millwall FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lvs Wrexham AFC0–3
  • Lat Southampton FC1–5
  • Wvs Norwich City FC3–0
  • Lvs Hull City AFC0–2
  • Dat Hull City AFC0–0

Bolton Wanderers FC

0W 1D 2L in the last 3 · 2 scored, 4 conceded

  • Lat Sheffield United FC2–3
  • Lvs Lincoln City FC0–1
  • Dat Queens Park Rangers FC0–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.