Championship · Matchweek 3

Middlesbrough FC vs West Bromwich Albion FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 12:30 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Middlesbrough FC win28%
Draw22%
West Bromwich Albion FC win50%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Under 2.5 goals
37%
BTTS yes
63%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
41%
BTTS no
37%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.89

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

West Bromwich Albion FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. West Bromwich Albion FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.9%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–17.2%
  • 0–26.9%
  • 2–16.8%
  • 2–26.4%
  • 1–35.9%
  • 1–05.2%

Team comparison

StatisticMiddlesbrough FCWest Bromwich Albion FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.711.57
Goals per match2.001.14
Goals conceded per match1.571.00
Home / away goals scored92
Home / away goals conceded64
Last 5 points98
Last 5 goals scored104
Last 5 goals conceded83
Win percentage43%43%

Middlesbrough FC recent form

DWWDD

West Bromwich Albion FC recent form

DWWDL

Recent form

Middlesbrough FC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–2
  • Lat Hull City AFC0–1
  • Lat Southampton FC1–2
  • Dvs Southampton FC0–0
  • Dat Wrexham AFC2–2

West Bromwich Albion FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wvs Burnley FC3–1
  • Lat Sheffield Wednesday FC1–2
  • Dvs Ipswich Town FC0–0
  • Wvs Watford FC3–0
  • Wat Preston North End FC2–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.