Championship · Matchweek 1

Middlesbrough FC vs Lincoln City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 15 Aug, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Middlesbrough FC win50%
Draw26%
Lincoln City FC win24%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Under 2.5 goals
55%
BTTS yes
48%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
Over 3.5 goals
24%
BTTS no
52%
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.96

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects fewer away goals given Middlesbrough FC's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.7%
  • 1–112.2%
  • 2–09.7%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–08.3%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 1–25.9%
  • 3–04.9%

Team comparison

StatisticMiddlesbrough FCLincoln City FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.711.57
Goals per match2.000.86
Goals conceded per match1.570.86
Home / away goals scored93
Home / away goals conceded60
Last 5 points98
Last 5 goals scored104
Last 5 goals conceded83
Win percentage43%43%

Middlesbrough FC recent form

DWWDD

Lincoln City FC recent form

DDWWL

Recent form

Middlesbrough FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Hull City AFC0–1
  • Lat Southampton FC1–2
  • Dvs Southampton FC0–0
  • Dat Wrexham AFC2–2
  • Wvs Watford FC5–1

Lincoln City FC

No recent completed fixtures on record.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.