Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 19
Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 12:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 19
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Middlesbrough FC win75%
Draw14%
Derby County FC win11%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS yes
- 60%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 90%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS no
- 40%
- Expected goals
- 2.84 – 1.01
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Middlesbrough FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Derby County FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.7%
- 2–08.6%
- 3–18.2%
- 3–08.2%
- 1–16.1%
- 1–06.1%
- 4–15.8%
- 4–05.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Middlesbrough FC | Derby County FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 14 | 14 |
| Points per match | 1.86 | 0.71 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 0.93 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.29 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 15 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 14% |
Middlesbrough FC recent form
DWWLD
Derby County FC recent form
LDLLW
Recent form
Middlesbrough FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 5 conceded
- Dat Watford FC0–0
- Lat Wrexham AFC0–2
- Wvs Charlton Athletic FC3–0
- Wat Bolton Wanderers FC5–1
- Dvs Cardiff City FC2–2
Derby County FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded
- Wvs Bolton Wanderers FC3–1
- Lvs Norwich City FC0–4
- Lat Millwall FC1–4
- Dat Sheffield United FC1–1
- Lvs Stoke City FC0–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Home
31%
Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.