Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 4
Manchester United FC vs Manchester City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 13 Sept, 16:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- Old Trafford, Manchester, England
United Matchday prediction
Manchester United FC win30%
Draw18%
Manchester City FC win52%
- Predicted score
- 2–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 86%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 14%
- BTTS yes
- 82%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 95%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 71%
- BTTS no
- 18%
- Expected goals
- 2.10 – 2.71
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Manchester United FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Manchester City FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Manchester City FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–26.6%
- 1–26.3%
- 2–36.0%
- 1–35.7%
- 2–14.9%
- 1–14.6%
- 3–24.6%
- 3–34.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Manchester United FC | Manchester City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.10 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 2.10 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.90 | 1.30 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 11 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 10% | 70% |
Manchester United FC recent form
DDLLD
Manchester City FC recent form
WWLLL
Recent form
Manchester United FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs Sabah FK4–0
- Dat Everton FC2–2
- Wvs Ipswich Town FC5–2
- Lat Hull City AFC0–2
- Wat Brighton & Hove Albion FC3–0
Manchester City FC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat FC Porto2–0
- Wvs Coventry City FC1–0
- Wat Crystal Palace FC4–1
- Wvs AFC Bournemouth2–1
- Lvs Aston Villa FC1–2
Team news
Manchester United FC
- Man United complete first transfer of Mauricio Pochettino era as wonderkid joins
- Mauricio Pochettino: Man Utd close to agreeing deal with Michael Carrick's potential successor ahead of Monaco
- USA dressing room break silence on Mauricio Pochettino's exit for Manchester United
- Two players Mauricio Pochettino must sign for Man United named and profiled
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.