Premier League · Matchweek 10

Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 (GMT+0)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
Old Trafford, Manchester, England

United Matchday prediction

Manchester United FC win49%
Draw24%
Aston Villa FC win27%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
32%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.17

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Manchester United FC and Aston Villa FC both sit close to the Premier League statistical average, so the model's expectation is driven mainly by home advantage.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 0–16.8%
  • 1–26.7%
  • 0–05.8%
  • 2–25.6%

Team comparison

StatisticManchester United FCAston Villa FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.001.14
Goals per match1.431.00
Goals conceded per match1.431.57
Home / away goals scored64
Home / away goals conceded46
Last 5 points48
Last 5 goals scored57
Last 5 goals conceded66
Win percentage14%29%

Manchester United FC recent form

DLDDD

Aston Villa FC recent form

DLWDW

Recent form

Manchester United FC

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dat Leeds United FC1–1
  • Lat Atlético Madrid0–2
  • Dvs Tottenham Hotspur FC1–1
  • Dat Fulham FC1–1
  • Lvs Manchester City FC0–1

Aston Villa FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat Newcastle United FC1–0
  • Wvs Fenerbahçe SK6–0
  • Dvs Brentford FC2–2
  • Wat Tottenham Hotspur FC3–2
  • Lvs Nottingham Forest FC1–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 October 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
703
1X2 accuracy
47.9%
BTTS accuracy
55.8%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.2%
Exact score
10.5%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.