Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 13
Manchester City FC vs Leeds United FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 2 Dec, 19:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England
United Matchday prediction
Manchester City FC win55%
Draw25%
Leeds United FC win21%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 54%
- BTTS yes
- 47%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 71%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS no
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 1.62 – 0.89
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Manchester City FC's home scoring output above the Premier League average. The model credits Leeds United FC with an above-average away defensive record.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.2%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–010.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 0–08.2%
- 0–17.2%
- 3–05.8%
- 1–25.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Manchester City FC | Leeds United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.10 | 1.40 |
| Goals per match | 2.10 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 70% | 30% |
Manchester City FC recent form
WWLLL
Leeds United FC recent form
LDDLW
Recent form
Manchester City FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Nottingham Forest FC1–3
- Wat RB Leipzig3–2
- Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–1
- Lat Aston Villa FC1–2
- Wvs PAE AEK5–1
Leeds United FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs Tottenham Hotspur FC1–0
- Lat AFC Bournemouth0–2
- Dat Sunderland AFC0–0
- Dvs Manchester United FC1–1
- Lat Arsenal FC1–2
Team news
Manchester City FC
- Premier League: 10 talking points from the weekend’s action
- Scott Pollock: Oxford City midfielder on cup exit to Leicester
- Cardiff City vs West Ham: Max Kilman's equaliser makes it 3-3 after incredible comeback from The Hammers
- Enzo Maresca believes his Manchester City squad is now 'complete' following the signing of Enzo Fernandez
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Wed 2 Dec, 19:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.