Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 7
Manchester City FC vs Ipswich Town FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England
United Matchday prediction
Manchester City FC win80%
Draw11%
Ipswich Town FC win9%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 86%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 14%
- BTTS yes
- 69%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 95%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 70%
- BTTS no
- 31%
- Expected goals
- 3.57 – 1.24
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Manchester City FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Away defensive numbers work against Ipswich Town FC, who have shipped goals above the Premier League average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Manchester City FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–17.8%
- 4–16.9%
- 2–16.5%
- 3–06.3%
- 4–05.6%
- 2–05.3%
- 5–14.9%
- 3–24.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Manchester City FC | Ipswich Town FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.10 | 1.10 |
| Goals per match | 2.10 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.30 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 13 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 70% | 30% |
Manchester City FC recent form
WWLLL
Ipswich Town FC recent form
WLDDL
Recent form
Manchester City FC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 7 conceded
- Lvs Paris Saint-Germain2–4
- Wat Liverpool FC3–0
- Wvs Sunderland AFC5–3
- Wat Manchester United FC1–0
- Wat FC Porto2–0
Ipswich Town FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 11 conceded
- Wvs Fulham FC2–1
- Lat Everton FC0–1
- Wat Crystal Palace FC3–2
- Lvs Liverpool FC0–2
- Lat Manchester United FC2–5
Team news
Manchester City FC
- Premier League: 10 talking points from the weekend’s action
- Scott Pollock: Oxford City midfielder on cup exit to Leicester
- Cardiff City vs West Ham: Max Kilman's equaliser makes it 3-3 after incredible comeback from The Hammers
- Enzo Maresca believes his Manchester City squad is now 'complete' following the signing of Enzo Fernandez
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.