Premier League · Matchweek 7

Manchester City FC vs Ipswich Town FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England

United Matchday prediction

Manchester City FC win79%
Draw12%
Ipswich Town FC win10%
Predicted score
3–1
Over 2.5 goals
85%
Under 2.5 goals
15%
BTTS yes
69%
Over 1.5 goals
95%
Over 3.5 goals
69%
BTTS no
31%
Expected goals
3.47 – 1.25

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Manchester City FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Away defensive numbers work against Ipswich Town FC, who have shipped goals above the Premier League average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Manchester City FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–17.8%
  • 4–16.8%
  • 2–16.8%
  • 3–06.2%
  • 4–05.4%
  • 2–05.4%
  • 3–24.9%
  • 5–14.7%

Team comparison

StatisticManchester City FCIpswich Town FC
Matches played55
Points per match3.001.20
Goals per match2.601.40
Goals conceded per match1.002.20
Home / away goals scored85
Home / away goals conceded48
Last 5 points156
Last 5 goals scored137
Last 5 goals conceded511
Win percentage100%40%

Manchester City FC recent form

WWWWW

Ipswich Town FC recent form

WLLWL

Recent form

Manchester City FC

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Sunderland AFC5–3
  • Wat Manchester United FC1–0
  • Wat FC Porto2–0
  • Wvs Coventry City FC1–0
  • Wat Crystal Palace FC4–1

Ipswich Town FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Everton FC0–1
  • Wat Crystal Palace FC3–2
  • Lvs Liverpool FC0–2
  • Lat Manchester United FC2–5
  • Wvs Sunderland AFC2–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.