Premier League · Matchweek 11

Manchester City FC vs Fulham FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 21 Nov, 12:30 (GMT)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England

United Matchday prediction

Manchester City FC win51%
Draw25%
Fulham FC win23%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS yes
49%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
BTTS no
51%
Expected goals
1.58 – 0.98

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Manchester City FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits Fulham FC with an above-average away defensive record.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.3%
  • 1–112.0%
  • 2–09.7%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–07.8%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 1–25.8%
  • 3–05.1%

Team comparison

StatisticManchester City FCFulham FC
Matches played1010
Points per match2.101.00
Goals per match2.101.00
Goals conceded per match1.301.20
Home / away goals scored113
Home / away goals conceded74
Last 5 points68
Last 5 goals scored85
Last 5 goals conceded84
Win percentage70%20%

Manchester City FC recent form

WWLLL

Fulham FC recent form

LWWDD

Recent form

Manchester City FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Nottingham Forest FC1–3
  • Wat RB Leipzig3–2
  • Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–1
  • Lat Aston Villa FC1–2
  • Wvs PAE AEK5–1

Fulham FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dvs Newcastle United FC1–1
  • Dat Aston Villa FC1–1
  • Wat Coventry City FC1–0
  • Wvs Hull City AFC1–0
  • Lat Ipswich Town FC1–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 12:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.