Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 13
Liverpool FC vs Sunderland AFC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 2 Dec, 19:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- Anfield, Liverpool, England
United Matchday prediction
Liverpool FC win56%
Draw23%
Sunderland AFC win20%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 76%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 1.77 – 0.96
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Liverpool FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. Sunderland AFC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. Recent results also favour Liverpool FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.5%
- 1–111.1%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–06.5%
- 0–16.3%
- 3–06.0%
- 3–15.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Liverpool FC | Sunderland AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 13 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 20% |
Liverpool FC recent form
LWWLW
Sunderland AFC recent form
LLDLW
Recent form
Liverpool FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat Crystal Palace FC3–1
- Lat Fenerbahçe SK2–3
- Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
- Wvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC2–0
- Wvs Villarreal CF4–3
Sunderland AFC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Chelsea FC1–0
- Lat Coventry City FC1–3
- Dvs Leeds United FC0–0
- Lat AFC Bournemouth0–2
- Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–2
Team news
Liverpool FC
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Wed 2 Dec, 19:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
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Draw
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Away
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Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.