Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 11
Liverpool FC vs Manchester United FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 22 Nov, 16:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- Anfield, Liverpool, England
United Matchday prediction
Liverpool FC win47%
Draw27%
Manchester United FC win27%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS yes
- 49%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 70%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 23%
- BTTS no
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 1.44 – 1.02
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Liverpool FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. Recent results also favour Liverpool FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–012.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–08.6%
- 1–26.4%
- 2–24.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Liverpool FC | Manchester United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.90 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 10% |
Liverpool FC recent form
LWWLW
Manchester United FC recent form
DDLLD
Recent form
Liverpool FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat Crystal Palace FC3–1
- Lat Fenerbahçe SK2–3
- Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
- Wvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC2–0
- Wvs Villarreal CF4–3
Manchester United FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 15 conceded
- Dvs Aston Villa FC4–4
- Wvs AS Roma3–2
- Lat Chelsea FC0–2
- Lvs AFC Bournemouth0–3
- Lat Como 19071–4
Team news
Manchester United FC
- Man United complete first transfer of Mauricio Pochettino era as wonderkid joins
- Mauricio Pochettino: Man Utd close to agreeing deal with Michael Carrick's potential successor ahead of Monaco
- USA dressing room break silence on Mauricio Pochettino's exit for Manchester United
- Two players Mauricio Pochettino must sign for Man United named and profiled
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 22 Nov, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 1 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.