Premier League
Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 6
Liverpool FC vs Manchester City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- Anfield, Liverpool, England
United Matchday prediction
Liverpool FC win21%
Draw22%
Manchester City FC win58%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS yes
- 57%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 81%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS no
- 43%
- Expected goals
- 1.09 – 1.96
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Liverpool FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Manchester City FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Manchester City FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–29.1%
- 1–36.5%
- 0–36.0%
- 2–15.5%
- 2–25.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Liverpool FC | Manchester City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 1 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 100% |
Liverpool FC recent form
DDWDW
Manchester City FC recent form
WWWWW
Recent form
Liverpool FC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 3 conceded
- Wat AFC Bournemouth1–0
- Dvs Fulham FC0–0
- Wvs Atlético Madrid2–1
- Wat Ipswich Town FC2–0
- Dvs Nottingham Forest FC2–2
Manchester City FC
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs Sunderland AFC5–3
- Wat Manchester United FC1–0
- Wat FC Porto2–0
- Wvs Coventry City FC1–0
- Wat Crystal Palace FC4–1
Team news
Liverpool FC
- Transfer rumors, news: Liverpool eye Endrick in case Minteh deal fails
- Transfer news: Crystal Palace chairman Steve Parish tells Liverpool accepting £50m Ismaila Sarr bid was 'never
- Cody Gakpo transfer news: Man City's proposed £80m move for Liverpool forward close to collapse
- Liverpool transfer news: No approaches for Harvey Elliott or Federico Chiesa but club willing to listen to off
Manchester City FC
- Saudi Arabia Railways signs deals to expand freight capacity, upgrade rail systems
- Enzo Fernández’s fortitude shows Maresca was right to crave City reunion
- Transfer rumors, news: Man City expected to send offer for Fernández
- Enzo Maresca believes his Manchester City squad is now 'complete' following the signing of Enzo Fernandez
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Leeds United FC vs Manchester United FC
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 51%
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Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Home
75%
Draw
15%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 52%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.