Premier League · Matchweek 4

Liverpool FC vs Fulham FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool, England

United Matchday prediction

Liverpool FC win60%
Draw22%
Fulham FC win19%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
BTTS yes
53%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
BTTS no
47%
Expected goals
1.92 – 0.97

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–010.7%
  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–010.3%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 3–06.6%
  • 3–16.4%
  • 0–05.5%
  • 0–15.4%

Team comparison

StatisticLiverpool FCFulham FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.800.40
Goals per match1.401.00
Goals conceded per match0.801.60
Home / away goals scored20
Home / away goals conceded21
Last 5 points92
Last 5 goals scored75
Last 5 goals conceded48
Win percentage40%0%

Liverpool FC recent form

DDWDW

Fulham FC recent form

LLLDD

Recent form

Liverpool FC

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs Atlético Madrid2–1
  • Wat Ipswich Town FC2–0
  • Dvs Nottingham Forest FC2–2
  • Dat Newcastle United FC2–2
  • Dvs Brentford FC1–1

Fulham FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lvs Crystal Palace FC2–3
  • Lat Sunderland AFC0–1
  • Lvs Chelsea FC2–3
  • Wvs Newcastle United FC2–0
  • Dat Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.