Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 5
Lincoln City FC vs Southampton FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Sept, 12:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Lincoln City FC win29%
Draw25%
Southampton FC win46%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 47%
- BTTS yes
- 56%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 77%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 31%
- BTTS no
- 44%
- Expected goals
- 1.21 – 1.58
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Lincoln City FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–27.7%
- 1–07.4%
- 2–17.1%
- 0–06.1%
- 2–25.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Lincoln City FC | Southampton FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 8 |
| Points per match | 1.57 | 1.75 |
| Goals per match | 0.86 | 2.38 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.86 | 1.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 50% |
Lincoln City FC recent form
DDWWL
Southampton FC recent form
DDWWL
Recent form
Lincoln City FC
1W 1D 1L in the last 3 · 2 scored, 3 conceded
- Dvs Blackburn Rovers FC0–0
- Wat Bolton Wanderers FC1–0
- Lvs Portsmouth FC1–3
Southampton FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat Birmingham City FC1–1
- Wvs Millwall FC5–1
- Wvs Stoke City FC3–1
- Lat Watford FC1–2
- Wvs Middlesbrough FC2–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
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Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.