Championship · Matchweek 12

Lincoln City FC vs Burnley FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Lincoln City FC win54%
Draw24%
Burnley FC win22%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes
51%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
28%
BTTS no
49%
Expected goals
1.69 – 0.99

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Lincoln City FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Burnley FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.5%
  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 0–06.8%
  • 0–16.8%
  • 1–25.7%
  • 3–05.5%

Team comparison

StatisticLincoln City FCBurnley FC
Matches played78
Points per match1.570.50
Goals per match0.861.13
Goals conceded per match0.862.13
Home / away goals scored34
Home / away goals conceded611
Last 5 points83
Last 5 goals scored45
Last 5 goals conceded38
Win percentage43%0%

Lincoln City FC recent form

DDWWL

Burnley FC recent form

DLDLD

Recent form

Lincoln City FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 3 conceded

  • Lvs Swansea City AFC1–2
  • Wat Bristol City FC1–0
  • Wat Preston North End FC1–0
  • Dvs Southampton FC1–1
  • Dvs Blackburn Rovers FC0–0

Burnley FC

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dvs Derby County FC1–1
  • Lat Swansea City AFC1–3
  • Dat Wrexham AFC1–1
  • Lvs Bristol City FC1–2
  • Dvs Middlesbrough FC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.