Championship · Matchweek 4

Lincoln City FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 1 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Lincoln City FC win40%
Draw23%
Blackburn Rovers FC win38%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Under 2.5 goals
35%
BTTS yes
66%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
BTTS no
34%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.64

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Lincoln City FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.9%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.1%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–06.1%
  • 0–15.9%
  • 2–05.1%
  • 0–24.8%

Team comparison

StatisticLincoln City FCBlackburn Rovers FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.571.14
Goals per match0.861.43
Goals conceded per match0.861.43
Home / away goals scored33
Home / away goals conceded64
Last 5 points85
Last 5 goals scored47
Last 5 goals conceded37
Win percentage43%29%

Lincoln City FC recent form

DDWWL

Blackburn Rovers FC recent form

DLLWD

Recent form

Lincoln City FC

1W 0D 1L in the last 2 · 2 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wat Bolton Wanderers FC1–0
  • Lvs Portsmouth FC1–3

Blackburn Rovers FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lvs Queens Park Rangers FC1–2
  • Wvs Middlesbrough FC2–1
  • Lvs Leicester City FC0–1
  • Wat Sheffield United FC3–1
  • Dvs Coventry City FC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 1 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.