Premier League
Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 5
Leeds United FC vs Crystal Palace FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Leeds United FC win68%
Draw17%
Crystal Palace FC win15%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 2.52 – 1.11
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Leeds United FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Away defensive numbers work against Crystal Palace FC, who have shipped goals above the Premier League average on the road. Leeds United FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.4%
- 3–17.9%
- 1–17.4%
- 3–07.1%
- 1–06.7%
- 2–25.2%
- 4–14.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Leeds United FC | Crystal Palace FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 20% |
Leeds United FC recent form
WDDWD
Crystal Palace FC recent form
LLWLD
Recent form
Leeds United FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs Newcastle United FC4–1
- Dat Brighton & Hove Albion FC1–1
- Dvs Brentford FC1–1
- Wat Nottingham Forest FC1–0
- Lat West Ham United FC0–3
Crystal Palace FC
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs Ipswich Town FC2–3
- Wat Fulham FC3–2
- Lvs Manchester City FC1–4
- Lat Everton FC0–2
- Lvs Arsenal FC1–2
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Leeds United FC vs Manchester United FC
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 51%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Home
75%
Draw
15%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 52%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.