Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 5
Leeds United FC vs Crystal Palace FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Leeds United FC win68%
Draw17%
Crystal Palace FC win15%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 2.52 – 1.11
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Leeds United FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Away defensive numbers work against Crystal Palace FC, who have shipped goals above the Premier League average on the road. Leeds United FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.4%
- 3–17.9%
- 1–17.4%
- 3–07.1%
- 1–06.7%
- 2–25.2%
- 4–14.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Leeds United FC | Crystal Palace FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 11 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 20% |
Leeds United FC recent form
LDDLW
Crystal Palace FC recent form
WLLLL
Recent form
Leeds United FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs Newcastle United FC4–1
- Dat Brighton & Hove Albion FC1–1
- Dvs Brentford FC1–1
- Wat Nottingham Forest FC1–0
- Lat West Ham United FC0–3
Crystal Palace FC
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs Ipswich Town FC2–3
- Wat Fulham FC3–2
- Lvs Manchester City FC1–4
- Lat Everton FC0–2
- Lvs Arsenal FC1–2
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
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Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.