Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 12
Leeds United FC vs Coventry City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Leeds United FC win59%
Draw25%
Coventry City FC win16%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 58%
- BTTS yes
- 41%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 68%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 21%
- BTTS no
- 59%
- Expected goals
- 1.63 – 0.72
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Leeds United FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Coventry City FC, who have shipped goals above the Premier League average on the road. Leeds United FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.6%
- 2–012.7%
- 1–111.2%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 3–06.9%
- 0–16.9%
- 3–14.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Leeds United FC | Coventry City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 1.90 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 30% |
Leeds United FC recent form
LDDLW
Coventry City FC recent form
WLLWL
Recent form
Leeds United FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs Tottenham Hotspur FC1–0
- Lat AFC Bournemouth0–2
- Dat Sunderland AFC0–0
- Dvs Manchester United FC1–1
- Lat Arsenal FC1–2
Coventry City FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Everton FC1–3
- Wvs Sunderland AFC3–1
- Lvs Fulham FC0–1
- Lat Tottenham Hotspur FC1–3
- Wvs Newcastle United FC4–1
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.