Premier League · Matchweek 12

Ipswich Town FC vs Aston Villa FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 28 Nov, 17:30 (GMT)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
Portman Road, Ipswich, England

United Matchday prediction

Ipswich Town FC win33%
Draw22%
Aston Villa FC win45%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Under 2.5 goals
32%
BTTS yes
68%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
46%
BTTS no
32%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.89

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Aston Villa FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. Aston Villa FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Aston Villa FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.2%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 0–15.7%
  • 1–35.5%
  • 0–25.4%
  • 1–04.8%

Team comparison

StatisticIpswich Town FCAston Villa FC
Matches played1010
Points per match1.101.30
Goals per match1.501.40
Goals conceded per match2.001.70
Home / away goals scored68
Home / away goals conceded710
Last 5 points59
Last 5 goals scored810
Last 5 goals conceded98
Win percentage30%30%

Ipswich Town FC recent form

WLDDL

Aston Villa FC recent form

DWWDD

Recent form

Ipswich Town FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lvs AFC Bournemouth1–2
  • Dat Hull City AFC2–2
  • Dvs Nottingham Forest FC1–1
  • Lat Manchester City FC2–3
  • Wvs Fulham FC2–1

Aston Villa FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 10 conceded

  • Dat Manchester United FC4–4
  • Lat Barcelona0–3
  • Dvs Fulham FC1–1
  • Wvs Manchester City FC2–1
  • Wvs Viking FK3–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 28 Nov, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.