Premier League · Matchweek 6

Hull City AFC vs Everton FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
MKM Stadium, Hull, England

United Matchday prediction

Hull City AFC win43%
Draw33%
Everton FC win24%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
26%
Under 2.5 goals
74%
BTTS yes
33%
Over 1.5 goals
52%
Over 3.5 goals
10%
BTTS no
67%
Expected goals
1.05 – 0.71

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Hull City AFC's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. The model credits Everton FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Hull City AFC's home defensive numbers. Both defensive records point toward a tighter, lower-scoring fixture.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–018.1%
  • 0–017.2%
  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–112.2%
  • 2–09.5%
  • 2–16.7%
  • 1–24.5%
  • 0–24.3%

Team comparison

StatisticHull City AFCEverton FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.601.80
Goals per match1.201.20
Goals conceded per match0.800.60
Home / away goals scored21
Home / away goals conceded01
Last 5 points89
Last 5 goals scored66
Last 5 goals conceded43
Win percentage40%40%

Hull City AFC recent form

WWDDL

Everton FC recent form

WDDDW

Recent form

Hull City AFC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 4 conceded

  • Lat Newcastle United FC1–2
  • Dat Chelsea FC2–2
  • Dvs Aston Villa FC0–0
  • Wat Coventry City FC1–0
  • Wvs Manchester United FC2–0

Everton FC

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wvs Ipswich Town FC1–0
  • Dat Tottenham Hotspur FC0–0
  • Dvs Manchester United FC2–2
  • Dat AFC Bournemouth1–1
  • Wvs Crystal Palace FC2–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.