Primeira Liga
CF Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia AC
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
23%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 53%BTTS: 54%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 9
Gil Vicente FC vs FC Porto Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 24 Oct, 20:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Gil Vicente FC win13%
Draw19%
FC Porto win68%
- Predicted score
- 0–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS yes
- 50%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 80%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS no
- 50%
- Expected goals
- 0.83 – 2.15
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Gil Vicente FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Primeira Liga baseline. The model credits FC Porto with an above-average away defensive record. FC Porto carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. FC Porto arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.7%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.1%
- 0–38.4%
- 1–37.0%
- 0–05.1%
- 0–44.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Gil Vicente FC | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals per match | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 1 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 14 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 100% |
Gil Vicente FC recent form
WDLLD
FC Porto recent form
WWWWW
Recent form
Gil Vicente FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 5 conceded
- Dvs CS Marítimo1–1
- Lat Sport Lisboa e Benfica1–3
- Lvs Académico de Viseu FC0–1
- Dat FC Famalicão0–0
- Wvs Casa Pia AC2–0
FC Porto
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica3–1
- Wat Casa Pia AC4–1
- Lvs Manchester City FC0–2
- Wvs Moreirense FC2–1
- Wat Académico de Viseu FC3–0
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 511
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.0%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.7%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.