Primeira Liga
Sporting Clube de Braga vs Sporting Clube de Portugal
Home
29%
Draw
28%
Away
43%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 3
Gil Vicente FC vs Casa Pia AC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 24 Aug, 20:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Gil Vicente FC win62%
Draw17%
Casa Pia AC win21%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 81%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 19%
- BTTS yes
- 75%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 93%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 64%
- BTTS no
- 25%
- Expected goals
- 2.77 – 1.62
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Casa Pia AC, who have shipped goals above the Primeira Liga average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–17.7%
- 3–17.1%
- 2–26.3%
- 3–25.8%
- 1–15.6%
- 4–14.9%
- 2–04.8%
- 1–24.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Gil Vicente FC | Casa Pia AC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Goals per match | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 17% |
Gil Vicente FC recent form
WDLLD
Casa Pia AC recent form
LLDLW
Recent form
Gil Vicente FC
No recent completed fixtures on record.
Casa Pia AC
0W 0D 1L in the last 1 · 0 scored, 7 conceded
- Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–7
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Mon 24 Aug, 20:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 24 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
49%
Draw
20%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 74%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.