Primeira Liga · Matchweek 3

GD Estoril Praia vs Rio Ave FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 18:00 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

GD Estoril Praia win43%
Draw20%
Rio Ave FC win37%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Under 2.5 goals
22%
BTTS yes
76%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
60%
BTTS no
24%
Expected goals
2.16 – 2.00

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–27.3%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 1–26.7%
  • 3–15.2%
  • 3–25.2%
  • 2–34.9%
  • 1–34.5%

Team comparison

StatisticGD Estoril PraiaRio Ave FC
Matches played65
Points per match0.170.80
Goals per match0.331.00
Goals conceded per match1.502.40
Home / away goals scored12
Home / away goals conceded45
Last 5 points14
Last 5 goals scored25
Last 5 goals conceded712
Win percentage0%20%

GD Estoril Praia recent form

LLDLL

Rio Ave FC recent form

WLLDL

Recent form

GD Estoril Praia

0W 0D 1L in the last 1 · 0 scored, 2 conceded

  • Lat CD Nacional0–2

Rio Ave FC

No recent completed fixtures on record.

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.