Eredivisie
FC Twente '65 vs Willem II Tilburg
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 15
Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 20:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 15
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Fortuna Sittard win37%
Draw25%
PEC Zwolle win37%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 46%
- BTTS yes
- 57%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 77%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 31%
- BTTS no
- 43%
- Expected goals
- 1.41 – 1.41
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Fortuna Sittard have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. PEC Zwolle have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.4%
- 0–05.9%
- 2–05.9%
- 0–25.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Fortuna Sittard | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 11 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.09 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 1.18 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.70 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 10 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 27% |
Fortuna Sittard recent form
DDWDD
PEC Zwolle recent form
LWDWD
Recent form
Fortuna Sittard
1W 4D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded
- Dvs Telstar 19632–2
- Dat Feyenoord Rotterdam1–1
- Wvs SBV Excelsior1–0
- Dat NEC2–2
- Dvs FC Twente '651–1
PEC Zwolle
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 4 conceded
- Dat Willem II Tilburg1–1
- Wvs ADO Den Haag1–0
- Dat FC Utrecht1–1
- Wvs Go Ahead Eagles4–1
- Lvs SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden0–1
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Eredivisie
SBV Excelsior vs Telstar 1963
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie
Telstar 1963 vs FC Groningen
Home
38%
Draw
18%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 2–2Over 2.5: 89%BTTS: 85%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.