Eredivisie · Matchweek 3

Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 15:30 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Fortuna Sittard win26%
Draw23%
AZ win50%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Under 2.5 goals
43%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
35%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.76

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Fortuna Sittard's home attacking output as weaker than the Eredivisie baseline. The model credits AZ with an above-average away defensive record.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 0–27.9%
  • 2–16.6%
  • 1–06.2%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 1–35.7%

Team comparison

StatisticFortuna SittardAZ
Matches played55
Points per match1.802.60
Goals per match1.602.40
Goals conceded per match2.201.00
Home / away goals scored15
Home / away goals conceded72
Last 5 points913
Last 5 goals scored812
Last 5 goals conceded115
Win percentage60%80%

Fortuna Sittard recent form

LWWLW

AZ recent form

WWWDW

Recent form

Fortuna Sittard

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat FC Utrecht0–2
  • Wvs PEC Zwolle3–2
  • Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–2
  • Lat SC Heerenveen1–2
  • Dvs NAC Breda1–1

AZ

1W 4D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs NAC Breda3–3
  • Dat Feyenoord Rotterdam1–1
  • Dvs FC Twente '652–2
  • Dat Go Ahead Eagles0–0
  • Wvs SC Heerenveen3–0

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.