Eredivisie · Matchweek 4

FC Utrecht vs PSV Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 30 Aug, 11:15 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Utrecht win19%
Draw15%
PSV win66%
Predicted score
2–3
Over 2.5 goals
91%
Under 2.5 goals
9%
BTTS yes
84%
Over 1.5 goals
97%
Over 3.5 goals
80%
BTTS no
16%
Expected goals
2.00 – 3.49

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

PSV's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. PSV arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–35.9%
  • 1–35.9%
  • 2–45.2%
  • 1–45.1%
  • 2–25.1%
  • 1–25.1%
  • 3–33.9%
  • 2–53.6%

Team comparison

StatisticFC UtrechtPSV
Matches played55
Points per match1.002.40
Goals per match1.804.00
Goals conceded per match3.601.40
Home / away goals scored411
Home / away goals conceded95
Last 5 points512
Last 5 goals scored920
Last 5 goals conceded187
Win percentage20%80%

FC Utrecht recent form

DLDWL

PSV recent form

WWWWL

Recent form

FC Utrecht

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded

  • Dat Sparta Rotterdam3–3
  • Wvs Fortuna Sittard2–0
  • Wat AFC Ajax2–1
  • Wvs NAC Breda2–0
  • Lat SBV Excelsior0–5

PSV

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 22 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs FC Groningen5–1
  • Wvs FC Twente '655–1
  • Wat Go Ahead Eagles4–1
  • Dat AFC Ajax2–2
  • Wvs PEC Zwolle6–1

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 30 Aug, 11:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 30 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.