Eredivisie · Matchweek 2

FC Utrecht vs AZ Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 15 Aug, 17:45 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Utrecht win57%
Draw23%
AZ win20%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.97

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits AZ with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given FC Utrecht's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour FC Utrecht, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.3%
  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–010.1%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 0–06.3%
  • 0–16.1%
  • 3–06.0%
  • 3–15.9%

Team comparison

StatisticFC UtrechtAZ
Matches played55
Points per match1.002.60
Goals per match1.802.40
Goals conceded per match3.601.00
Home / away goals scored45
Home / away goals conceded92
Last 5 points513
Last 5 goals scored912
Last 5 goals conceded185
Win percentage20%80%

FC Utrecht recent form

DLDWL

AZ recent form

WWWDW

Recent form

FC Utrecht

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Fortuna Sittard2–0
  • Wat AFC Ajax2–1
  • Wvs NAC Breda2–0
  • Lat SBV Excelsior0–5
  • Wvs Telstar 19634–1

AZ

1W 4D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs NAC Breda3–3
  • Dat Feyenoord Rotterdam1–1
  • Dvs FC Twente '652–2
  • Dat Go Ahead Eagles0–0
  • Wvs SC Heerenveen3–0

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 15 Aug, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.