Eredivisie · Matchweek 2

FC Utrecht vs AZ Prediction

United Matchday prediction

FC Utrecht win57%
Draw23%
AZ win20%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.97

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits AZ with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given FC Utrecht's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour FC Utrecht, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1011.3%
  • 1111.0%
  • 2010.1%
  • 219.8%
  • 006.3%
  • 016.1%
  • 306.0%
  • 315.9%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.