Primeira Liga
Sporting Clube de Braga vs Sporting Clube de Portugal
Home
29%
Draw
28%
Away
43%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 3
FC Porto vs FC Arouca Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 23 Aug, 20:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Porto win24%
Draw19%
FC Arouca win57%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS yes
- 71%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS no
- 29%
- Expected goals
- 1.53 – 2.43
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits FC Arouca with an above-average away defensive record. FC Arouca carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. FC Arouca arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.6%
- 1–17.1%
- 1–37.0%
- 2–26.6%
- 0–25.6%
- 2–15.4%
- 2–35.3%
- 0–14.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Porto | FC Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 6 |
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 2.80 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.60 | 1.17 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 14 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 100% | 33% |
FC Porto recent form
WWWWW
FC Arouca recent form
LWDLD
Recent form
FC Porto
No recent completed fixtures on record.
FC Arouca
1W 0D 0L in the last 1 · 4 scored, 0 conceded
- Wvs Moreirense FC4–0
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 23 Aug, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 23 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
49%
Draw
20%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 74%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.